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Senin, 27 April 2009

Market Cycles and Self-fulfilling Prophecies

















Adam Khoo

to me

==============================
============
"How To Make Your Fortune From The
Greatest Investment Opportunity
Since The Great Depression!"

=> http://www.ProfitFromThePanic.com
==========================================

Hi Tjhai,

The market is a predominantly irrational place filled with many
investors who will believe anything and everything. Therefore, it
is not a surprise that superstition and self-fulfilling prophecies
prevail.

That's actually not a bad thing if you realise how you can leverage
on knowing when and what will happen. It can help you decide
whether to profit take or hedge your position.

Here are some interesting events that have been observed to happen.
However it is important to note there are exceptions when they do
not occur.

Pattern 1: January Barometer
Often used by analysts as an indication of the year's sentiment. If
January ends down, the year to follow will be bearish (downward
trend). If it closes up, the year will be bullish (upward trend).

During election years when the first five days of January closed
down with the month of January also down, the year had always
closed negative.

Pattern 2: The January Effect
Here's a bit of January Effect Trivia: Traditionally in bullish
years, the 10 best performing stocks on the S&P 500 will end the
year up, while the 10 worst performers will go down.

Pattern 3: Sell in May and Go Away
A trader's superstition that has more credit than most would like
to admit. The months from November to April are often bullish,
while May to Halloween (end October) are bearish. September is
traditionally one of the worst months of the trading year.

Other interesting trivia:
-------------------------
1) The first trading day of the month is reliably a very bullish
day - often the month's most bullish.

2) April is the most bullish month of any trading year.

3) Quarter 3 is the worse quarter of the trading year starting with
July and ending with September - with September being the worst of
those three months.

4) November, December and January make up the best three months of
a trading year.

5) The end of October starts the best six months on the S&P500 and
the start of the best eight months on the NASDAQ.

To your investing success,
Adam
http://www.ProfitFromThePanic.com/index1.htm








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